Featherweight
3 Rounds
Zubaira Tukhugov won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, February 22, 2020·Auckland, New Zealand, New Zealand
Style matchupKevin Aguilar: StrikervsZubaira Tukhugov: Wrestler
Classic striker-vs-wrestler. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Kevin Aguilar wins(52.1%)
Actual result: Zubaira Tukhugov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kevin Aguilar enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Zubaira Tukhugov has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Zubaira Tukhugov has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Kevin Aguilar has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Kevin Aguilar
Red Corner
VS
Zubaira Tukhugov
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
37
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'8"
185.42 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kevin AguilarL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Rick Glenn · Nov 18W
vs Enrique Barzola · Mar 19L
vs Dan Ige · Jun 19L
vs Charles Rosa · Jun 20L
vs Tucker Lutz · May 21Zubaira Tukhugov
oldest →latest
W
vs Phillipe Nover · Dec 15L
vs Renato Moicano · May 16L
vs Hakeem Dawodu · Sep 20W
vs Ricardo Ramos · Oct 21L
vs Elves Brener · Feb 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kevin AguilarMetricZubaira Tukhugov
3.96
Strikes / min
3.17
4.81
Strikes absorbed / min
3.07
52%
Strike defense
63%
0.16
TDs / 15 min
2.13
78%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.85evenly matched on net striking+0.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kevin AguilarZubaira Tukhugov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kevin Aguilar(6 fights)Zubaira Tukhugov(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-10.310.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-1134.01134.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Kevin Aguilar
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6
Zubaira Tukhugov
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights8