Welterweight
3 Rounds
Kevin Holland won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, March 5, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupKevin Holland: Well-roundedvsAlex Oliveira: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Alex Oliveira wins(54.0%)
Actual result: Kevin Holland wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alex Oliveira enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Kevin Holland threatens submissions; Alex Oliveira has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Kevin Holland has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Kevin Holland
Red Corner
VS
Alex Oliveira
Blue Corner
-435
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+330
(23%)
33
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
5'11"
205.74 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kevin HollandL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Jan 25W
vs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 25W
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Jun 25L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jul 25L
vs Mike Malott · Oct 25Alex OliveiraL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Max Griffin · Mar 20W
vs Peter Sobotta · Jul 20L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Oct 20L
SUBvs Randy Brown · Apr 21L
vs Niko Price · Oct 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kevin HollandMetricAlex Oliveira
4.24
Strikes / min
2.99
3.21
Strikes absorbed / min
2.55
50%
Strike defense
46%
0.79
TDs / 15 min
2.35
57%
Takedown defense
63%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.03evenly matched on net striking+0.44
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kevin HollandAlex Oliveira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kevin Holland(10 fights)Alex Oliveira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+54.6-54.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+175.0-175.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Kevin Holland
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights27
Alex Oliveira
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights21