Middleweight
3 Rounds
Kevin Holland won · SUB
UFC Event·Saturday, October 31, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Kevin Holland wins(62.3%)
Actual result: Kevin Holland wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kevin Holland threatens submissions; Charlie Ontiveros has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Kevin Holland has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Kevin Holland has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Charlie Ontiveros (52.9%).
- Kevin Holland has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Kevin Holland
Red Corner
VS
Charlie Ontiveros
Blue Corner
-770
(89%)
Vegas Odds
+500
(17%)
33
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'3"
Height
6'2"
205.74 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kevin HollandL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Jan 25W
vs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 25W
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Jun 25L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jul 25L
vs Mike Malott · Oct 25Charlie OntiverosL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Steve Garcia · Oct 21L
KOvs Gabriel Benitez · Aug 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kevin HollandMetricCharlie Ontiveros
4.24
Strikes / min
1.89
3.21
Strikes absorbed / min
5.86
50%
Strike defense
31%
0.79
TDs / 15 min
0.00
57%
Takedown defense
30%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.03Δ 5.00 — meaningful gap-3.97
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kevin HollandCharlie Ontiveros
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kevin Holland(10 fights)Charlie Ontiveros(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+72.1-72.1
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.848.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Kevin Holland
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights27
Charlie Ontiveros
StanceSwitch
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights3