Welterweight
3 Rounds
Daniel Rodriguez won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 19, 2025·New Orleans, Louisiana, USA, USA
Style matchupKevin Holland: Well-roundedvsDaniel Rodriguez: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Kevin Holland wins(53.9%)
Actual result: Daniel Rodriguez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Daniel Rodriguez (53.5%).
- Kevin Holland has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Kevin Holland
Red Corner
VS
Daniel Rodriguez
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
33
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'3"
Height
6'1"
205.74 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kevin Holland
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Roman Dolidze · Oct 24L
SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Jan 25W
vs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 25W
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Jun 25L
vs Mike Malott · Oct 25Daniel RodriguezW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Neil Magny · Nov 22L
KOvs Ian Machado Garry · May 23L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Jun 24W
vs Alex Morono · Oct 24W
KOvs Santiago Ponzinibbio · May 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kevin HollandMetricDaniel Rodriguez
4.24
Strikes / min
7.20
3.21
Strikes absorbed / min
5.40
50%
Strike defense
57%
0.79
TDs / 15 min
0.51
57%
Takedown defense
64%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.03evenly matched on net striking+1.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kevin HollandDaniel Rodriguez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kevin Holland(10 fights)Daniel Rodriguez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-1.31.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-35.035.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Kevin Holland
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights27
Daniel Rodriguez
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights14