Middleweight
3 Rounds
Kevin Holland won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 30, 2019·Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA, USA
Style matchupKevin Holland: Well-roundedvsGerald Meerschaert: Submission grappler
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Kevin Holland wins(65.0%)
Actual result: Kevin Holland wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Kevin Holland has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Gerald Meerschaert (53.5%).
- Kevin Holland has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Kevin Holland
Red Corner
VS
Gerald Meerschaert
Blue Corner
-225
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+185
(35%)
33
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'3"
Height
6'1"
205.74 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kevin HollandL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Jan 25W
vs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 25W
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Jun 25L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jul 25L
vs Mike Malott · Oct 25Gerald MeerschaertL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Aug 24L
SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Nov 24L
vs Brad Tavares · Apr 25L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 25L
SUBvs Kyle Daukaus · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kevin HollandMetricGerald Meerschaert
4.24
Strikes / min
2.95
3.21
Strikes absorbed / min
3.44
50%
Strike defense
53%
0.79
TDs / 15 min
1.70
57%
Takedown defense
40%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.03Δ 1.52 — meaningful gap-0.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kevin HollandGerald Meerschaert
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kevin Holland(10 fights)Gerald Meerschaert(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-32.132.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Kevin Holland
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights27
Gerald Meerschaert
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights25