Middleweight
3 Rounds
Kevin Holland won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, December 12, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupKevin Holland: Well-roundedvsJacare Souza: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Kevin Holland wins(61.7%)
Actual result: Kevin Holland wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jacare Souza enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Jacare Souza has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Kevin Holland has a 23cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Kevin Holland
Red Corner
VS
Jacare Souza
Blue Corner
-135
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+115
(47%)
33
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'1"
205.74 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kevin HollandL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Jan 25W
vs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 25W
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Jun 25L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jul 25L
vs Mike Malott · Oct 25Jacare SouzaL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Chris Weidman · Nov 18L
vs Jack Hermansson · Apr 19L
vs Jan Blachowicz · Nov 19L
vs Uriah Hall · May 20L
SUBvs Andre Muniz · May 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kevin HollandMetricJacare Souza
4.24
Strikes / min
2.53
3.21
Strikes absorbed / min
2.83
50%
Strike defense
62%
0.79
TDs / 15 min
2.57
57%
Takedown defense
57%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.03Δ 1.33 — meaningful gap-0.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kevin HollandJacare Souza
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kevin Holland(10 fights)Jacare Souza(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+34.4-34.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-175.0175.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.6-1.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Kevin Holland
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights27
Jacare Souza
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights17