Welterweight
3 Rounds
Jack Della Maddalena won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 16, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupKevin Holland: Well-roundedvsJack Della Maddalena: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Jack Della Maddalena wins(53.8%)
Actual result: Jack Della Maddalena wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jack Della Maddalena has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jack Della Maddalena (52.9%).
- Kevin Holland has a 20cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Kevin Holland
Red Corner
VS
Jack Della Maddalena
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
33
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'3"
Height
5'11"
205.74 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kevin HollandL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Jan 25W
vs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 25W
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Jun 25L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jul 25L
vs Mike Malott · Oct 25Jack Della Maddalena
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Randy Brown · Feb 23W
vs Bassil Hafez · Jul 23W
KOvs Gilbert Burns · Mar 24W
vs Belal Muhammad · May 25L
vs Islam Makhachev · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kevin HollandMetricJack Della Maddalena
4.24
Strikes / min
5.32
3.21
Strikes absorbed / min
4.24
50%
Strike defense
61%
0.79
TDs / 15 min
0.34
57%
Takedown defense
64%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.03evenly matched on net striking+1.08
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kevin HollandJack Della Maddalena
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kevin Holland(10 fights)Jack Della Maddalena(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+11.7-11.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-14.014.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Kevin Holland
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights27
Jack Della Maddalena
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights9