Middleweight
3 Rounds
Kevin Holland won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 24, 2018·Beijing, China, China
Model Prediction: Kevin Holland wins(71.5%)
Actual result: Kevin Holland wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kevin Holland threatens submissions; John Phillips has lost 60% of fights by sub.
- Kevin Holland has 50pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors John Phillips (53.5%).
- Kevin Holland has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Kevin Holland
Red Corner
VS
John Phillips
Blue Corner
-590
(86%)
Vegas Odds
+445
(18%)
33
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'3"
Height
5'11"
205.74 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kevin HollandL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Jan 25W
vs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 25W
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Jun 25L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jul 25L
vs Mike Malott · Oct 25John PhillipsL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Charles Byrd · Mar 18L
vs Jack Marshman · Mar 19W
KOvs Alen Amedovski · Sep 19L
SUBvs Khamzat Chimaev · Jul 20L
vs Junyong Park · Oct 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kevin HollandMetricJohn Phillips
4.24
Strikes / min
1.72
3.21
Strikes absorbed / min
4.03
50%
Strike defense
49%
0.79
TDs / 15 min
0.00
57%
Takedown defense
7%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.03Δ 3.34 — meaningful gap-2.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kevin HollandJohn Phillips
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kevin Holland(10 fights)John Phillips(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+3.4-3.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-140.0140.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Kevin Holland
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights27
John Phillips
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights6