Welterweight
3 Rounds
Michael Page won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 9, 2024·Miami, Florida, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Kevin Holland wins(53.5%)
Actual result: Michael Page wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michael Page enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Michael Page has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Michael Page (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Kevin Holland
Red Corner
VS
Michael Page
Blue Corner
-142
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
33
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'3"
Height
6'3"
205.74 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kevin HollandL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Jan 25W
vs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 25W
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Jun 25L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jul 25L
vs Mike Malott · Oct 25Michael PageW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ian Machado Garry · Jun 24W
vs Shara Magomedov · Feb 25W
vs Jared Cannonier · Aug 25W
vs Sam Patterson · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kevin HollandMetricMichael Page
4.24
Strikes / min
2.28
3.21
Strikes absorbed / min
1.51
50%
Strike defense
62%
0.79
TDs / 15 min
0.19
57%
Takedown defense
70%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.03evenly matched on net striking+0.77
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kevin HollandMichael Page
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kevin Holland(10 fights)Michael Page(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+85.2-85.2
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.249.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Kevin Holland
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights27
Michael Page
StanceSwitch
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights5