Lightweight
3 Rounds
Kevin Lee won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 2, 2019·New York City, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupKevin Lee: WrestlervsGregor Gillespie: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Gregor Gillespie wins(63.4%)
Actual result: Kevin Lee wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kevin Lee enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Gregor Gillespie enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Gregor Gillespie has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Kevin Lee has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Kevin Lee
Red Corner
VS
Gregor Gillespie
Blue Corner
+150
(40%)
Vegas Odds
-170
(63%)
33
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'7"
195.58 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kevin LeeL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Al Iaquinta · Dec 18L
SUBvs Rafael Dos Anjos · May 19L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Mar 20L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Aug 21L
SUBvs Rinat Fakhretdinov · Jul 23Gregor GillespieW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Jason Gonzalez · Sep 17W
KOvs Jordan Rinaldi · Jan 18W
SUBvs Vinc Pichel · Jun 18W
KOvs Yancy Medeiros · Jan 19W
KOvs Diego Ferreira · May 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kevin LeeMetricGregor Gillespie
3.88
Strikes / min
3.74
3.60
Strikes absorbed / min
2.30
50%
Strike defense
57%
3.18
TDs / 15 min
6.86
75%
Takedown defense
100%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.28Δ 1.16 — meaningful gap+1.44
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kevin LeeGregor Gillespie
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kevin Lee(10 fights)Gregor Gillespie(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-14.114.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-119.0119.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.51.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Kevin Lee
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights19
Gregor Gillespie
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights8