Lightweight
3 Rounds
Kevin Lee won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Wednesday, July 15, 2015·San Diego, California, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Kevin Lee wins(64.3%)
Actual result: Kevin Lee wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kevin Lee enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- James Moontasri threatens submissions; Kevin Lee has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Kevin Lee has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors James Moontasri (52.9%).
- Kevin Lee has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Kevin Lee
Red Corner
VS
James Moontasri
Blue Corner
-315
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+285
(26%)
33
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'9"
Height
5'10"
195.58 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kevin LeeL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Rafael Dos Anjos · May 19W
KOvs Gregor Gillespie · Nov 19L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Mar 20L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Aug 21L
SUBvs Rinat Fakhretdinov · Jul 23James MoontasriL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Joe Ellenberger · Jun 14W
SUBvs Cody Pfister · Feb 15W
KOvs Anton Zafir · Nov 15L
vs Alex Oliveira · Jul 16L
vs Alex Morono · Dec 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kevin LeeMetricJames Moontasri
3.88
Strikes / min
2.39
3.60
Strikes absorbed / min
3.86
50%
Strike defense
40%
3.18
TDs / 15 min
0.00
75%
Takedown defense
79%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.28Δ 1.75 — meaningful gap-1.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kevin LeeJames Moontasri
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kevin Lee(10 fights)James Moontasri(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+37.0-37.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Kevin Lee
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights19
James Moontasri
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights6