Featherweight
3 Rounds
Chas Skelly won
UFC Event·Saturday, November 7, 2015·Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Kevin Souza wins(54.8%)
Actual result: Chas Skelly wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kevin Souza enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Tale of the Tape
Kevin Souza
Red Corner
VS
Chas Skelly
Blue Corner
+160
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-185
(65%)
31
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kevin SouzaW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Felipe Arantes · Sep 13W
vs Mark Eddiva · May 14W
vs Katsunori Kikuno · Mar 15Chas SkellyW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Chris Gruetzemacher · Feb 17L
KOvs Jason Knight · May 17L
vs Bobby Moffett · Nov 18W
vs Jordan Griffin · Sep 19W
KOvs Mark Striegl · Feb 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kevin SouzaMetricChas Skelly
—
Strikes / min
2.01
—
Strikes absorbed / min
3.21
—
Strike defense
49%
—
TDs / 15 min
1.74
—
Takedown defense
39%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
2.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kevin SouzaChas Skelly
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kevin Souza(4 fights)Chas Skelly(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.0-16.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-35.035.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.8-1.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Kevin Souza
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights3
Chas Skelly
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights12