Catch Weight
3 Rounds
Khabib Nurmagomedov won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, April 16, 2016·Tampa, Florida, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Khabib Nurmagomedov wins(73.5%)
Actual result: Khabib Nurmagomedov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Khabib Nurmagomedov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Khabib Nurmagomedov has 26pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Khabib Nurmagomedov has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Darrell Horcher (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Khabib Nurmagomedov
Red Corner
VS
Darrell Horcher
Blue Corner
-1000
(91%)
Vegas Odds
+650
(13%)
37
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Khabib NurmagomedovW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Edson Barboza · Dec 17W
vs Al Iaquinta · Apr 18W
SUBvs Conor McGregor · Oct 18W
SUBvs Dustin Poirier · Sep 19W
SUBvs Justin Gaethje · Oct 20Darrell HorcherL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Devin Powell · Jun 17L
vs Scott Holtzman · Dec 17L
SUBvs Roosevelt Roberts · Nov 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Khabib NurmagomedovMetricDarrell Horcher
4.10
Strikes / min
2.05
1.75
Strikes absorbed / min
4.21
65%
Strike defense
39%
5.32
TDs / 15 min
0.35
84%
Takedown defense
47%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.35Δ 4.51 — meaningful gap-2.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Khabib NurmagomedovDarrell Horcher
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Khabib Nurmagomedov(10 fights)Darrell Horcher(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+106.2-106.2
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.348.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
Khabib Nurmagomedov
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights13
Darrell Horcher
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4