Lightweight
3 Rounds
Khabib Nurmagomedov won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 30, 2017·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupKhabib Nurmagomedov: WrestlervsEdson Barboza: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Khabib Nurmagomedov wins(75.0%)
Actual result: Khabib Nurmagomedov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Khabib Nurmagomedov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Edson Barboza enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Khabib Nurmagomedov has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Edson Barboza has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Khabib Nurmagomedov
Red Corner
VS
Edson Barboza
Blue Corner
-410
(80%)
Vegas Odds
+330
(23%)
37
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'11"
177.8 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Khabib NurmagomedovW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Michael Johnson · Nov 16W
vs Al Iaquinta · Apr 18W
SUBvs Conor McGregor · Oct 18W
SUBvs Dustin Poirier · Sep 19W
SUBvs Justin Gaethje · Oct 20Edson BarbozaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Apr 23W
vs Sodiq Yusuff · Oct 23L
vs Lerone Murphy · May 24L
vs Drakkar Klose · Aug 25L
KOvs Jalin Turner · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Khabib NurmagomedovMetricEdson Barboza
4.10
Strikes / min
4.14
1.75
Strikes absorbed / min
4.68
65%
Strike defense
55%
5.32
TDs / 15 min
0.43
84%
Takedown defense
73%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.35Δ 2.89 — meaningful gap-0.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Khabib NurmagomedovEdson Barboza
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Khabib Nurmagomedov(10 fights)Edson Barboza(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+119.0-119.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Khabib Nurmagomedov
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights13
Edson Barboza
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights32