Lightweight
3 Rounds
Khabib Nurmagomedov won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 12, 2016·New York City, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupKhabib Nurmagomedov: WrestlervsMichael Johnson: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Khabib Nurmagomedov wins(75.6%)
Actual result: Khabib Nurmagomedov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Khabib Nurmagomedov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Michael Johnson (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Khabib Nurmagomedov
Red Corner
VS
Michael Johnson
Blue Corner
-345
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+285
(26%)
37
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Khabib NurmagomedovW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Edson Barboza · Dec 17W
vs Al Iaquinta · Apr 18W
SUBvs Conor McGregor · Oct 18W
SUBvs Dustin Poirier · Sep 19W
SUBvs Justin Gaethje · Oct 20Michael Johnson
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Diego Ferreira · May 23W
vs Darrius Flowers · Feb 24W
KOvs Ottman Azaitar · Dec 24W
vs Daniel Zellhuber · Jul 25L
KOvs Drew Dober · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Khabib NurmagomedovMetricMichael Johnson
4.10
Strikes / min
4.27
1.75
Strikes absorbed / min
3.78
65%
Strike defense
58%
5.32
TDs / 15 min
0.57
84%
Takedown defense
81%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.35Δ 1.86 — meaningful gap+0.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Khabib NurmagomedovMichael Johnson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Khabib Nurmagomedov(10 fights)Michael Johnson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+51.7-51.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+154.0-154.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Khabib Nurmagomedov
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights13
Michael Johnson
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights32