Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Khalil Rountree Jr. won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, March 12, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Karl Roberson wins(53.8%)
Actual result: Khalil Rountree Jr. wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Karl Roberson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Khalil Rountree Jr. has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Khalil Rountree Jr.
Red Corner
VS
Karl Roberson
Blue Corner
+125
(44%)
Vegas Odds
-145
(59%)
36
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'1"
193.04 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Khalil Rountree Jr.
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Aug 23W
KOvs Anthony Smith · Dec 23L
KOvs Alex Pereira · Oct 24W
vs Jamahal Hill · Jun 25L
KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Oct 25Karl RobersonL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Wellington Turman · Jul 19W
SUBvs Roman Kopylov · Nov 19L
SUBvs Marvin Vettori · Jun 20L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Apr 21L
KOvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Jul 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Khalil Rountree Jr.MetricKarl Roberson
3.88
Strikes / min
2.57
4.33
Strikes absorbed / min
2.42
49%
Strike defense
57%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.72
58%
Takedown defense
40%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.45evenly matched on net striking+0.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Khalil Rountree Jr.Karl Roberson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Khalil Rountree Jr.(10 fights)Karl Roberson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-6.16.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-133.0133.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Khalil Rountree Jr.
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights17
Karl Roberson
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights10