Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Khalil Rountree Jr. won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Sunday, July 16, 2017·Glasgow, Scotland, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupKhalil Rountree Jr.: StrikervsPaul Craig: Submission grappler
Striker must keep this standing. Grappler wins big if it hits the floor.
Model Prediction: Paul Craig wins(51.8%)
Actual result: Khalil Rountree Jr. wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Paul Craig enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Khalil Rountree Jr. is a KO finisher (70% of wins). Paul Craig has lost 55% of fights by KO.
- Khalil Rountree Jr. has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Khalil Rountree Jr. (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Khalil Rountree Jr.
Red Corner
VS
Paul Craig
Blue Corner
-145
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+125
(44%)
36
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'3"
193.04 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Khalil Rountree Jr.
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Aug 23W
KOvs Anthony Smith · Dec 23L
KOvs Alex Pereira · Oct 24W
vs Jamahal Hill · Jun 25L
KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Oct 25Paul CraigL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Nov 23L
KOvs Caio Borralho · May 24L
vs Bo Nickal · Nov 24L
vs Rodolfo Bellato · Jun 25L
KOvs Modestas Bukauskas · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Khalil Rountree Jr.MetricPaul Craig
3.88
Strikes / min
2.50
4.33
Strikes absorbed / min
3.04
49%
Strike defense
43%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.43
58%
Takedown defense
35%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.45evenly matched on net striking-0.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Khalil Rountree Jr.Paul Craig
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Khalil Rountree Jr.(10 fights)Paul Craig(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.915.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+28.0-28.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Khalil Rountree Jr.
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights17
Paul Craig
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights20