Middleweight
3 Rounds
Khamzat Chimaev won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, September 19, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupKhamzat Chimaev: WrestlervsGerald Meerschaert: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Khamzat Chimaev wins(63.2%)
Actual result: Khamzat Chimaev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Khamzat Chimaev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Khamzat Chimaev has 47pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Gerald Meerschaert (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Khamzat Chimaev
Red Corner
VS
Gerald Meerschaert
Blue Corner
-400
(80%)
Vegas Odds
+300
(25%)
32
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
6'1"
190.5 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Khamzat ChimaevW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Gilbert Burns · Apr 22W
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Sep 22W
vs Kamaru Usman · Oct 23W
SUBvs Robert Whittaker · Oct 24W
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Aug 25Gerald MeerschaertL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Aug 24L
SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Nov 24L
vs Brad Tavares · Apr 25L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 25L
SUBvs Kyle Daukaus · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Khamzat ChimaevMetricGerald Meerschaert
4.01
Strikes / min
2.95
2.98
Strikes absorbed / min
3.44
52%
Strike defense
53%
5.32
TDs / 15 min
1.70
87%
Takedown defense
40%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.03Δ 1.52 — meaningful gap-0.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Khamzat ChimaevGerald Meerschaert
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Khamzat Chimaev(9 fights)Gerald Meerschaert(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+22.6-22.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-49.049.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Khamzat Chimaev
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights9
Gerald Meerschaert
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights25