Catch Weight
3 Rounds
Khamzat Chimaev won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, September 10, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupKhamzat Chimaev: WrestlervsKevin Holland: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Khamzat Chimaev wins(73.9%)
Actual result: Khamzat Chimaev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Khamzat Chimaev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Khamzat Chimaev has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Kevin Holland has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Khamzat Chimaev
Red Corner
VS
Kevin Holland
Blue Corner
-580
(85%)
Vegas Odds
+440
(19%)
32
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'3"
190.5 cm
Reach
205.74 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Khamzat ChimaevW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Li Jingliang · Oct 21W
vs Gilbert Burns · Apr 22W
vs Kamaru Usman · Oct 23W
SUBvs Robert Whittaker · Oct 24W
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Aug 25Kevin HollandL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Jan 25W
vs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 25W
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Jun 25L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jul 25L
vs Mike Malott · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Khamzat ChimaevMetricKevin Holland
4.01
Strikes / min
4.24
2.98
Strikes absorbed / min
3.21
52%
Strike defense
50%
5.32
TDs / 15 min
0.79
87%
Takedown defense
57%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.03evenly matched on net striking+1.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Khamzat ChimaevKevin Holland
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Khamzat Chimaev(9 fights)Kevin Holland(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-5.75.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+70.0-70.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Khamzat Chimaev
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights9
Kevin Holland
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights27