Catch Weight
3 Rounds
King Green won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 13, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: King Green wins(73.2%)
Actual result: King Green wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lance Gibson Jr. is a KO finisher (100% of wins). King Green has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Lance Gibson Jr. (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
King Green
Red Corner
VS
Lance Gibson Jr.
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
+150
(40%)
39
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'10"
Height
5'9"
180.34 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
King Green
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Jalin Turner · Dec 23W
vs Jim Miller · Apr 24L
SUBvs Paddy Pimblett · Jul 24L
KOvs Mauricio Ruffy · Mar 25W
KOvs Daniel Zellhuber · Feb 26Lance Gibson Jr.
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Chase Hooper · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
King GreenMetricLance Gibson Jr.
6.46
Strikes / min
2.40
3.55
Strikes absorbed / min
4.24
62%
Strike defense
56%
1.33
TDs / 15 min
1.67
72%
Takedown defense
75%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.91Δ 4.75 — meaningful gap-1.84
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
King GreenLance Gibson Jr.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
King Green(8 fights)Lance Gibson Jr.(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.0-15.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.449.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
King Green
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights8
Lance Gibson Jr.
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights2