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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Live · pre-fight pick preserved
Elo1516
Elo1526

Kody SteelevsGauge YoungUFC Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · Saturday, August 22, 2026Sacramento, USA

Fight begins in
Style matchupKody Steele: Well-roundedvsGauge Young: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

The model's pick for this fight is locked

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Kody Steele has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Kody Steele
Red Corner
VS
Gauge Young
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1516
Elo
1526
31
Age
26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'9"
180.34 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kody Steele
oldest →
L
vs Rongzhu · Feb 25
W
SUBvs Dom Mar Fan · May 26
latest
Gauge YoungW2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Evan Elder · Apr 25
W
vs Maheshate · Aug 25
W
DECvs Thiago Moises · Apr 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kody SteeleMetricGauge Young
3.85
Strikes / min
6.32
6.20
Strikes absorbed / min
5.12
52%
Strike defense
49%
1.07
TDs / 15 min
0.75
100%
Takedown defense
76%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.35Δ 3.55 — meaningful gap+1.20
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701488150515231540← oldermost recent →
Kody Steele(2 fights)Gauge Young(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -9.9|Blue +9.9
Recent Form
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Kody Steele

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights1

Gauge Young

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights2