Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Guido Cannetti won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, March 12, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupKris Moutinho: StrikervsGuido Cannetti: Wrestler
Classic striker-vs-wrestler. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Guido Cannetti wins(50.9%)
Actual result: Guido Cannetti wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kris Moutinho enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Guido Cannetti has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Guido Cannetti has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Tale of the Tape
Kris Moutinho
Red Corner
VS
Guido Cannetti
Blue Corner
-160
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
33
Age
46
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'6"
172.72 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kris MoutinhoL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Jul 21L
KOvs Malcolm Wellmaker · Jun 25L
vs Cristian Quinonez · Feb 26Guido Cannetti
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Marlon Vera · Nov 18L
KOvs Danaa Batgerel · Mar 20L
vs Mana Martinez · Aug 21W
SUBvs Randy Costa · Oct 22L
SUBvs Mario Bautista · Mar 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kris MoutinhoMetricGuido Cannetti
3.35
Strikes / min
3.44
9.36
Strikes absorbed / min
2.84
30%
Strike defense
51%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
2.27
30%
Takedown defense
64%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-6.01Δ 6.61 — meaningful gap+0.60
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kris MoutinhoGuido Cannetti
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kris Moutinho(4 fights)Guido Cannetti(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+29.6-29.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+49.0-49.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Kris Moutinho
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights4
Guido Cannetti
StanceSouthpaw
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights10