Middleweight
3 Rounds
Krzysztof Jotko won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 20, 2019·Saint Petersburg, Saint Petersburg, Russia, Russia
Model Prediction: Krzysztof Jotko wins(70.4%)
Actual result: Krzysztof Jotko wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alen Amedovski enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Krzysztof Jotko has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Krzysztof Jotko has 82pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Krzysztof Jotko (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Krzysztof Jotko
Red Corner
VS
Alen Amedovski
Blue Corner
-230
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
36
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'10"
195.58 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Krzysztof Jotko
oldest →latest
W
vs Eryk Anders · May 20L
vs Sean Strickland · May 21W
vs Misha Cirkunov · Oct 21W
vs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 22L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Oct 22Alen AmedovskiL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs John Phillips · Sep 19L
SUBvs Joseph Holmes · May 22L
KOvs Joe Pyfer · Sep 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Krzysztof JotkoMetricAlen Amedovski
2.98
Strikes / min
0.99
2.23
Strikes absorbed / min
3.85
57%
Strike defense
46%
1.33
TDs / 15 min
0.00
82%
Takedown defense
0%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.75Δ 3.61 — meaningful gap-2.86
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Krzysztof JotkoAlen Amedovski
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Krzysztof Jotko(10 fights)Alen Amedovski(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+26.1-26.1
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.148.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Krzysztof Jotko
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights16
Alen Amedovski
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4