Middleweight
3 Rounds
Brad Tavares won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 14, 2018·Glendale, Arizona, USA, USA
Style matchupKrzysztof Jotko: Well-roundedvsBrad Tavares: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Krzysztof Jotko wins(62.3%)
Actual result: Brad Tavares wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Krzysztof Jotko (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Krzysztof Jotko
Red Corner
VS
Brad Tavares
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+110
(48%)
36
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'1"
195.58 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Krzysztof Jotko
oldest →latest
W
vs Eryk Anders · May 20L
vs Sean Strickland · May 21W
vs Misha Cirkunov · Oct 21W
vs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 22L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Oct 22Brad TavaresL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 24L
vs JunYong Park · Oct 24W
vs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 25L
KOvs Robert Bryczek · Sep 25L
vs Eryk Anders · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Krzysztof JotkoMetricBrad Tavares
2.98
Strikes / min
3.41
2.23
Strikes absorbed / min
3.32
57%
Strike defense
54%
1.33
TDs / 15 min
0.70
82%
Takedown defense
80%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.75evenly matched on net striking+0.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Krzysztof JotkoBrad Tavares
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Krzysztof Jotko(10 fights)Brad Tavares(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-62.362.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.21.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Krzysztof Jotko
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights16
Brad Tavares
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights28