Middleweight
3 Rounds
David Branch won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 13, 2017·Dallas, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupKrzysztof Jotko: Well-roundedvsDavid Branch: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Krzysztof Jotko wins(54.7%)
Actual result: David Branch wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Krzysztof Jotko has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Krzysztof Jotko (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Krzysztof Jotko
Red Corner
VS
David Branch
Blue Corner
-170
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+150
(40%)
36
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'1"
195.58 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Krzysztof Jotko
oldest →latest
W
vs Eryk Anders · May 20L
vs Sean Strickland · May 21W
vs Misha Cirkunov · Oct 21W
vs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 22L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Oct 22David BranchL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Rousimar Palhares · Mar 11L
KOvs Luke Rockhold · Sep 17W
KOvs Thiago Santos · Apr 18L
KOvs Jared Cannonier · Nov 18L
SUBvs Jack Hermansson · Mar 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Krzysztof JotkoMetricDavid Branch
2.98
Strikes / min
1.66
2.23
Strikes absorbed / min
1.91
57%
Strike defense
56%
1.33
TDs / 15 min
2.55
82%
Takedown defense
43%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.75evenly matched on net striking-0.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Krzysztof JotkoDavid Branch
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Krzysztof Jotko(10 fights)David Branch(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+84.8-84.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-2088.02088.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Krzysztof Jotko
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights16
David Branch
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights9