Middleweight
3 Rounds
Krzysztof Jotko won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 30, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupKrzysztof Jotko: Well-roundedvsGerald Meerschaert: Submission grappler
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Gerald Meerschaert wins(50.3%)
Actual result: Krzysztof Jotko wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Gerald Meerschaert threatens submissions; Krzysztof Jotko has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Krzysztof Jotko has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Krzysztof Jotko
Red Corner
VS
Gerald Meerschaert
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
36
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'1"
195.58 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Krzysztof Jotko
oldest →latest
W
vs Alen Amedovski · Apr 19W
vs Eryk Anders · May 20L
vs Sean Strickland · May 21W
vs Misha Cirkunov · Oct 21L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Oct 22Gerald MeerschaertL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Aug 24L
SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Nov 24L
vs Brad Tavares · Apr 25L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 25L
SUBvs Kyle Daukaus · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Krzysztof JotkoMetricGerald Meerschaert
2.98
Strikes / min
2.95
2.23
Strikes absorbed / min
3.44
57%
Strike defense
53%
1.33
TDs / 15 min
1.70
82%
Takedown defense
40%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.75Δ 1.24 — meaningful gap-0.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Krzysztof JotkoGerald Meerschaert
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Krzysztof Jotko(10 fights)Gerald Meerschaert(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+12.5-12.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+77.0-77.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Krzysztof Jotko
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights16
Gerald Meerschaert
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights25