Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Austin Hubbard enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Austin Hubbard has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kurt HolobaughL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Thiago Moises · May 19W
vs Kaynan Kruschewsky · Jul 24L
vs Alexander Hernandez · Mar 25L
SUBvs Jordan Leavitt · May 25 Austin HubbardL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Michal Figlak · Apr 24L
vs Alexander Hernandez · Oct 24L
vs MarQuel Mederos · Mar 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kurt HolobaughMetricAustin Hubbard
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.34evenly matched on net striking-0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Kurt HolobaughAustin Hubbard
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kurt Holobaugh(9 fights)Austin Hubbard(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +11.6|Blue -11.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.3|Blue -2.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +833.0|Blue -833.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Kurt HolobaughTargetAustin Hubbard
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Austin Hubbard edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns0
Control0:00
31Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:06Control
Round 2Kurt Holobaugh edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control1:08
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:17Control
