Lightweight
3 Rounds
Kurt Holobaugh won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, August 19, 2023·Boston, Massachusetts, USA, USA
Style matchupKurt Holobaugh: Pressure fightervsAustin Hubbard: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Kurt Holobaugh wins(62.5%)
Actual result: Kurt Holobaugh wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Austin Hubbard enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Austin Hubbard has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Kurt Holobaugh
Red Corner
VS
Austin Hubbard
Blue Corner
+142
(41%)
Vegas Odds
-170
(63%)
39
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kurt HolobaughL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Thiago Moises · May 19L
vs Trey Ogden · Mar 24W
vs Kaynan Kruschewsky · Jul 24L
vs Alexander Hernandez · Mar 25L
SUBvs Jordan Leavitt · May 25Austin HubbardL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Vinc Pichel · Aug 21W
vs Michal Figlak · Apr 24L
vs Alexander Hernandez · Oct 24L
vs MarQuel Mederos · Mar 25L
vs Rongzhu · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kurt HolobaughMetricAustin Hubbard
4.58
Strikes / min
3.97
4.24
Strikes absorbed / min
4.10
49%
Strike defense
55%
0.65
TDs / 15 min
1.63
38%
Takedown defense
68%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.34evenly matched on net striking-0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kurt HolobaughAustin Hubbard
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kurt Holobaugh(9 fights)Austin Hubbard(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-50.850.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+833.0-833.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.3-2.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Kurt Holobaugh
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights9
Austin Hubbard
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights12