Lightweight
3 Rounds
Jordan Leavitt won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 31, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupKurt Holobaugh: Pressure fightervsJordan Leavitt: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Jordan Leavitt wins(54.3%)
Actual result: Jordan Leavitt wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kurt Holobaugh threatens submissions; Jordan Leavitt has lost 67% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jordan Leavitt (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Kurt Holobaugh
Red Corner
VS
Jordan Leavitt
Blue Corner
+190
(34%)
Vegas Odds
-230
(70%)
39
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kurt Holobaugh
oldest →latest
L
vs Thiago Moises · May 19W
SUBvs Austin Hubbard · Aug 23L
vs Trey Ogden · Mar 24W
vs Kaynan Kruschewsky · Jul 24L
vs Alexander Hernandez · Mar 25Jordan Leavitt
oldest →latest
W
vs Trey Ogden · Apr 22L
SUBvs Paddy Pimblett · Jul 22W
KOvs Victor Martinez · Feb 23L
SUBvs Chase Hooper · Nov 23W
vs Yadier del Valle · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kurt HolobaughMetricJordan Leavitt
4.58
Strikes / min
2.21
4.24
Strikes absorbed / min
1.59
49%
Strike defense
58%
0.65
TDs / 15 min
3.15
38%
Takedown defense
30%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.34evenly matched on net striking+0.62
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kurt HolobaughJordan Leavitt
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kurt Holobaugh(9 fights)Jordan Leavitt(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-65.365.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-483.0483.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Kurt Holobaugh
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights9
Jordan Leavitt
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights9