Lightweight
3 Rounds
Kurt Holobaugh won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 20, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupKurt Holobaugh: Pressure fightervsKaynan Kruschewsky: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Kurt Holobaugh wins(55.0%)
Actual result: Kurt Holobaugh wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kurt Holobaugh enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Kaynan Kruschewsky has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Kurt Holobaugh
Red Corner
VS
Kaynan Kruschewsky
Blue Corner
+124
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-160
(62%)
39
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'0"
177.8 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kurt HolobaughL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Thiago Moises · May 19W
SUBvs Austin Hubbard · Aug 23L
vs Trey Ogden · Mar 24L
vs Alexander Hernandez · Mar 25L
SUBvs Jordan Leavitt · May 25Kaynan Kruschewsky
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Elves Brener · Nov 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kurt HolobaughMetricKaynan Kruschewsky
4.58
Strikes / min
5.67
4.24
Strikes absorbed / min
5.71
49%
Strike defense
46%
0.65
TDs / 15 min
2.74
38%
Takedown defense
75%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
2.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.34evenly matched on net striking-0.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kurt HolobaughKaynan Kruschewsky
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kurt Holobaugh(9 fights)Kaynan Kruschewsky(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-41.941.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-140.0140.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
Kurt Holobaugh
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights9
Kaynan Kruschewsky
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights2