Featherweight
3 Rounds
Raoni Barcelos won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 14, 2018·Boise, Idaho, USA, USA
Style matchupKurt Holobaugh: Pressure fightervsRaoni Barcelos: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Raoni Barcelos wins(51.3%)
Actual result: Raoni Barcelos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Raoni Barcelos enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Raoni Barcelos has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Raoni Barcelos has 49pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Kurt Holobaugh
Red Corner
VS
Raoni Barcelos
Blue Corner
-165
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+145
(41%)
39
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kurt HolobaughL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Austin Hubbard · Aug 23L
vs Trey Ogden · Mar 24W
vs Kaynan Kruschewsky · Jul 24L
vs Alexander Hernandez · Mar 25L
SUBvs Jordan Leavitt · May 25Raoni BarcelosW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Kyler Phillips · Aug 23W
SUBvs Cristian Quinonez · Feb 24W
vs Payton Talbott · Jan 25W
vs Cody Garbrandt · Jun 25W
vs Ricky Simon · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kurt HolobaughMetricRaoni Barcelos
4.58
Strikes / min
4.65
4.24
Strikes absorbed / min
4.24
49%
Strike defense
60%
0.65
TDs / 15 min
2.51
38%
Takedown defense
87%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.34evenly matched on net striking+0.41
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kurt HolobaughRaoni Barcelos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kurt Holobaugh(9 fights)Raoni Barcelos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-14.614.6
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Kurt Holobaugh
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights9
Raoni Barcelos
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights14