Lightweight
3 Rounds
Kurt Pellegrino won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, March 27, 2010·Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupKurt Pellegrino: WrestlervsFabricio Camoes: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Kurt Pellegrino wins(71.1%)
Actual result: Kurt Pellegrino wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Fabricio Camoes enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Kurt Pellegrino threatens submissions; Fabricio Camoes has lost 75% of fights by sub.
- Kurt Pellegrino has 49pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Kurt Pellegrino
Red Corner
VS
Fabricio Camoes
Blue Corner
-210
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
47
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kurt PellegrinoL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs George Sotiropoulos · Jul 10L
vs Gleison Tibau · Mar 11Fabricio CamoesL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Tommy Hayden · Jan 12L
vs Melvin Guillard · Jul 12L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Dec 13L
SUBvs Anthony Rocco Martin · Oct 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kurt PellegrinoMetricFabricio Camoes
2.45
Strikes / min
1.29
1.94
Strikes absorbed / min
1.85
63%
Strike defense
61%
2.90
TDs / 15 min
2.34
69%
Takedown defense
20%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.51Δ 1.07 — meaningful gap-0.56
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kurt PellegrinoFabricio Camoes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kurt Pellegrino(3 fights)Fabricio Camoes(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Kurt Pellegrino
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights3
Fabricio Camoes
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights5