Middleweight
3 Rounds
Kyle Daukaus won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, November 21, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupKyle Daukaus: WrestlervsDustin Stoltzfus: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Kyle Daukaus wins(67.5%)
Actual result: Kyle Daukaus wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kyle Daukaus has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kyle Daukaus (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Kyle Daukaus
Red Corner
VS
Dustin Stoltzfus
Blue Corner
-315
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+230
(30%)
33
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'0"
193.04 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kyle DaukausW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Jamie Pickett · Feb 22L
KOvs Roman Dolidze · Jun 22L
KOvs Eryk Anders · Dec 22W
KOvs Michel Pereira · Aug 25W
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Nov 25Dustin StoltzfusL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Punahele Soriano · Dec 23L
KOvs Brunno Ferreira · Jun 24W
KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · Nov 24L
vs Nursulton Ruziboev · May 25L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kyle DaukausMetricDustin Stoltzfus
3.32
Strikes / min
3.30
2.90
Strikes absorbed / min
3.23
42%
Strike defense
47%
2.08
TDs / 15 min
2.08
82%
Takedown defense
46%
2.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.42evenly matched on net striking+0.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kyle DaukausDustin Stoltzfus
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kyle Daukaus(8 fights)Dustin Stoltzfus(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-16.316.3
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-48.948.9
Kyle Daukaus
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights8
Dustin Stoltzfus
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights10