Catch Weight
3 Rounds
Kyle Daukaus won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, February 19, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupKyle Daukaus: WrestlervsJamie Pickett: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Kyle Daukaus wins(62.8%)
Actual result: Kyle Daukaus wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jamie Pickett enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Kyle Daukaus has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kyle Daukaus (53.5%).
- Jamie Pickett has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Kyle Daukaus
Red Corner
VS
Jamie Pickett
Blue Corner
-335
(77%)
Vegas Odds
+260
(28%)
33
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'2"
193.04 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kyle DaukausW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Phil Hawes · May 21L
KOvs Roman Dolidze · Jun 22L
KOvs Eryk Anders · Dec 22W
KOvs Michel Pereira · Aug 25W
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Nov 25Jamie PickettL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Joseph Holmes · Jan 22L
KOvs Denis Tiuliulin · Sep 22L
SUBvs Bo Nickal · Mar 23L
vs Josh Fremd · Aug 23L
vs Eryk Anders · Mar 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kyle DaukausMetricJamie Pickett
3.32
Strikes / min
2.65
2.90
Strikes absorbed / min
3.62
42%
Strike defense
50%
2.08
TDs / 15 min
1.26
82%
Takedown defense
67%
2.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.42Δ 1.39 — meaningful gap-0.97
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kyle DaukausJamie Pickett
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kyle Daukaus(8 fights)Jamie Pickett(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-17.117.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+252.0-252.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Kyle Daukaus
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights8
Jamie Pickett
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights9