Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kyle Kingsbury enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Ricardo Romero has 48pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kyle KingsburyL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Fabio Maldonado · Jun 11L
vs Stephan Bonnar · Nov 11L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · May 12L
KOvs Jimi Manuwa · Sep 12L
vs Patrick Cummins · Jul 14 Ricardo Romero
oldest →W
SUBvs Seth Petruzelli · Jul 10L
KOvs James Te Huna · Sep 11 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kyle KingsburyMetricRicardo Romero
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.84Δ 1.76 — meaningful gap-2.60
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Kyle KingsburyRicardo Romero
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kyle Kingsbury(7 fights)Ricardo Romero(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +2.3|Blue -2.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -74.0|Blue +74.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Kyle KingsburyTargetRicardo Romero
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Kyle Kingsbury edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:07
Knockdowns1
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
