Featherweight
3 Rounds
Kyle Nelson won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 10, 2023·Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, Canada
Style matchupKyle Nelson: Well-roundedvsBlake Bilder: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Blake Bilder wins(50.8%)
Actual result: Kyle Nelson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Tale of the Tape
Kyle Nelson
Red Corner
VS
Blake Bilder
Blue Corner
+225
(31%)
Vegas Odds
-275
(73%)
35
Age
35
Switch
Stance
Switch
5'11"
Height
5'8"
180.34 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kyle Nelson
oldest →latest
W
vs Fernando Padilla · Sep 23W
KOvs Bill Algeo · Mar 24L
KOvs Steve Garcia · Sep 24W
vs Matt Frevola · Oct 25L
KOvs Terrance McKinney · Mar 26Blake Bilder
oldest →latest
W
vs Shane Young · Feb 23L
vs JeongYeong Lee · Feb 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kyle NelsonMetricBlake Bilder
3.60
Strikes / min
3.81
4.58
Strikes absorbed / min
4.15
53%
Strike defense
53%
1.18
TDs / 15 min
0.31
66%
Takedown defense
71%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.98evenly matched on net striking-0.34
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kyle NelsonBlake Bilder
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kyle Nelson(10 fights)Blake Bilder(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-62.962.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+203.0-203.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.91.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Kyle Nelson
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights11
Blake Bilder
StanceSwitch
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights3