Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matt Sayles enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kyle Nelson (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kyle Nelson
oldest →W
vs Fernando Padilla · Sep 23W
KOvs Bill Algeo · Mar 24L
KOvs Steve Garcia · Sep 24W
vs Matt Frevola · Oct 25L
KOvs Terrance McKinney · Mar 26 Matt SaylesL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Sheymon Moraes · Aug 18L
SUBvs Bryce Mitchell · Dec 19L
SUBvs Jordan Leavitt · Dec 21 Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Kyle NelsonMatt Sayles
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kyle Nelson(10 fights)Matt Sayles(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -126.0|Blue +126.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage