Middleweight
3 Rounds
Andrew Craig won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Friday, March 2, 2012·Sydney, New South Wales, Australia, Australia
Model Prediction: Kyle Noke wins(60.7%)
Actual result: Andrew Craig wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kyle Noke enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Andrew Craig enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Kyle Noke has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kyle Noke (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Kyle Noke
Red Corner
VS
Andrew Craig
Blue Corner
-255
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+235
(30%)
46
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'1"
193.04 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kyle NokeL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jonavin Webb · May 15W
KOvs Peter Sobotta · Nov 15L
vs Alex Morono · Jan 16L
SUBvs Keita Nakamura · Jul 16L
vs Omari Akhmedov · Nov 16Andrew CraigL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ronny Markes · Jan 13W
vs Chris Leben · Jul 13L
SUBvs Luke Barnatt · Oct 13L
vs Cezar Ferreira · Jun 14L
KOvs Lyman Good · Jul 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kyle NokeMetricAndrew Craig
3.23
Strikes / min
2.39
2.09
Strikes absorbed / min
3.01
64%
Strike defense
50%
1.53
TDs / 15 min
0.53
66%
Takedown defense
72%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.14Δ 1.76 — meaningful gap-0.62
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kyle NokeAndrew Craig
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kyle Noke(10 fights)Andrew Craig(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+35.0-35.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.148.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
Kyle Noke
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights12
Andrew Craig
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights7