Welterweight
3 Rounds
Keita Nakamura won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Wednesday, July 13, 2016·Sioux Falls, South Dakota, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Keita Nakamura wins(50.8%)
Actual result: Keita Nakamura wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Kyle Noke
Red Corner
VS
Keita Nakamura
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
46
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
5'11"
193.04 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kyle NokeL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Patrick Cote · Apr 14W
vs Jonavin Webb · May 15W
KOvs Peter Sobotta · Nov 15L
vs Alex Morono · Jan 16L
vs Omari Akhmedov · Nov 16Keita Nakamura
oldest →latest
L
vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Oct 16W
vs Alex Morono · Sep 17L
vs Anthony Rocco Martin · Apr 18W
vs Salim Touahri · Dec 18L
vs Sultan Aliev · Apr 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kyle NokeMetricKeita Nakamura
3.23
Strikes / min
2.23
2.09
Strikes absorbed / min
3.20
64%
Strike defense
58%
1.53
TDs / 15 min
1.65
66%
Takedown defense
63%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.14Δ 2.11 — meaningful gap-0.97
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kyle NokeKeita Nakamura
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kyle Noke(10 fights)Keita Nakamura(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+24.2-24.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+56.0-56.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Kyle Noke
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights12
Keita Nakamura
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8