Lightweight
3 Rounds
Drew Dober won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 18, 2025·Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, Canada
Style matchupKyle Prepolec: StrikervsDrew Dober: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Drew Dober wins(57.8%)
Actual result: Drew Dober wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kyle Prepolec enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Kyle Prepolec
Red Corner
VS
Drew Dober
Blue Corner
+265
(27%)
Vegas Odds
-330
(77%)
36
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kyle PrepolecL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Nordine Taleb · May 19L
vs Austin Hubbard · Sep 19L
SUBvs Benoit Saint Denis · May 25Drew Dober
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Ricky Glenn · Oct 23L
vs Renato Moicano · Feb 24L
KOvs Jean Silva · Jul 24L
KOvs Manuel Torres · Mar 25W
KOvs Michael Johnson · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kyle PrepolecMetricDrew Dober
3.25
Strikes / min
4.48
5.69
Strikes absorbed / min
4.33
48%
Strike defense
53%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.61
45%
Takedown defense
58%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.44Δ 2.59 — meaningful gap+0.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kyle PrepolecDrew Dober
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kyle Prepolec(4 fights)Drew Dober(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-76.976.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-42.042.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Kyle Prepolec
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4
Drew Dober
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights26