Welterweight
3 Rounds
Chance Rencountre won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 19, 2019·Brooklyn, New York, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Kyle Stewart wins(64.1%)
Actual result: Chance Rencountre wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chance Rencountre threatens submissions; Kyle Stewart has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Kyle Stewart has 44pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Chance Rencountre (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Kyle Stewart
Red Corner
VS
Chance Rencountre
Blue Corner
-165
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+145
(41%)
37
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'2"
193.04 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kyle Stewart
oldest →latest
L
vs Erik Koch · Jul 19Chance Rencountre
oldest →latest
L
vs Belal Muhammad · Jun 18W
vs Ismail Naurdiev · Jul 19L
KOvs Lyman Good · Nov 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kyle StewartMetricChance Rencountre
1.41
Strikes / min
1.10
2.42
Strikes absorbed / min
3.62
43%
Strike defense
49%
1.32
TDs / 15 min
1.35
60%
Takedown defense
16%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.01Δ 1.51 — meaningful gap-2.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kyle StewartChance Rencountre
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kyle Stewart(2 fights)Chance Rencountre(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.1-16.1
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+50.0-50.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+50.0-50.0
Kyle Stewart
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights2
Chance Rencountre
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights4