Flyweight
3 Rounds
Kyoji Horiguchi won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 19, 2016·Belfast, Northern Ireland, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupKyoji Horiguchi: Elusive strikervsAli Bagautinov: Wrestler
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Kyoji Horiguchi wins(70.5%)
Actual result: Kyoji Horiguchi wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kyoji Horiguchi enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Kyoji Horiguchi has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Kyoji Horiguchi
Red Corner
VS
Ali Bagautinov
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
35
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'4"
160.02 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kyoji HoriguchiW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Demetrious Johnson · Apr 15W
vs Chico Camus · Sep 15W
vs Neil Seery · May 16W
SUBvs Tagir Ulanbekov · Nov 25W
vs Amir Albazi · Feb 26Ali Bagautinov
oldest →latest
W
vs Tim Elliott · Nov 13W
vs John Lineker · Feb 14L
vs Demetrious Johnson · Jun 14L
vs Joseph Benavidez · Oct 15W
vs Geane Herrera · Jun 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kyoji HoriguchiMetricAli Bagautinov
3.77
Strikes / min
2.85
2.13
Strikes absorbed / min
3.09
63%
Strike defense
52%
1.61
TDs / 15 min
2.51
61%
Takedown defense
65%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.64Δ 1.88 — meaningful gap-0.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kyoji HoriguchiAli Bagautinov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kyoji Horiguchi(10 fights)Ali Bagautinov(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+34.5-34.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+41.0-41.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Kyoji Horiguchi
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights10
Ali Bagautinov
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights7