Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Poliana Botelho won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 13, 2019·Atlanta, Georgia, USA, USA
Style matchupLauren Mueller: Pressure fightervsPoliana Botelho: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Lauren Mueller wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Poliana Botelho wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Poliana Botelho enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Lauren Mueller
Red Corner
VS
Poliana Botelho
Blue Corner
+145
(41%)
Vegas Odds
-165
(62%)
34
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'8"
170.18 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Lauren MuellerL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Shana Dobson · Apr 18L
vs Wu Yanan · Nov 18L
vs JJ Aldrich · Oct 19Poliana BotelhoL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Syuri Kondo · May 18L
SUBvs Cynthia Calvillo · Nov 18L
vs Gillian Robertson · Oct 20L
vs Luana Carolina · May 21L
SUBvs Karine Silva · Jun 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Lauren MuellerMetricPoliana Botelho
4.08
Strikes / min
2.90
3.77
Strikes absorbed / min
2.80
58%
Strike defense
54%
0.70
TDs / 15 min
0.85
71%
Takedown defense
76%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.31evenly matched on net striking+0.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Lauren MuellerPoliana Botelho
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Lauren Mueller(4 fights)Poliana Botelho(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-16.016.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-7.07.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Lauren Mueller
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4
Poliana Botelho
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights7