Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Jessica Andrade won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 21, 2023·Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupLauren Murphy: Well-roundedvsJessica Andrade: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Lauren Murphy wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Jessica Andrade wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jessica Andrade enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Lauren Murphy has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Lauren Murphy
Red Corner
VS
Jessica Andrade
Blue Corner
+390
(20%)
Vegas Odds
-490
(83%)
42
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'1"
170.18 cm
Reach
157.48 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Lauren Murphy
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Liliya Shakirova · Oct 20W
vs Joanne Calderwood · Jun 21L
KOvs Valentina Shevchenko · Sep 21W
vs Miesha Tate · Jul 22L
vs Eduarda Moura · Jul 25Jessica AndradeL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Mackenzie Dern · Nov 23W
vs Marina Rodriguez · Apr 24L
vs Natalia Silva · Sep 24L
SUBvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · May 25L
vs Loopy Godinez · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Lauren MurphyMetricJessica Andrade
3.94
Strikes / min
6.37
5.19
Strikes absorbed / min
5.58
56%
Strike defense
54%
1.09
TDs / 15 min
2.10
67%
Takedown defense
75%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.25Δ 2.04 — meaningful gap+0.79
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Lauren MurphyJessica Andrade
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Lauren Murphy(10 fights)Jessica Andrade(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-43.943.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-84.084.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.51.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Lauren Murphy
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights15
Jessica Andrade
StanceOrthodox
Height61.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights30