Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Lauren Murphy won · SUB
UFC Event·Saturday, October 24, 2020·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Model Prediction: Lauren Murphy wins(58.3%)
Actual result: Lauren Murphy wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Liliya Shakirova has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Lauren Murphy has 67pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Lauren Murphy
Red Corner
VS
Liliya Shakirova
Blue Corner
-215
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
42
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'4"
170.18 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Lauren MurphyL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Joanne Calderwood · Jun 21L
KOvs Valentina Shevchenko · Sep 21W
vs Miesha Tate · Jul 22L
vs Jessica Andrade · Jan 23L
vs Eduarda Moura · Jul 25Liliya ShakirovaNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Lauren MurphyMetricLiliya Shakirova
3.94
Strikes / min
2.70
5.19
Strikes absorbed / min
2.58
56%
Strike defense
74%
1.09
TDs / 15 min
0.00
67%
Takedown defense
0%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.25Δ 1.37 — meaningful gap+0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Lauren MurphyLiliya Shakirova
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Lauren Murphy(10 fights)Liliya Shakirova(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+22.7-22.7
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-47.947.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.949.9
Lauren Murphy
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights15
Liliya Shakirova
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights1