Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Lauren Murphy won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 3, 2019·Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupLauren Murphy: Well-roundedvsMara Romero Borella: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Lauren Murphy wins(57.9%)
Actual result: Lauren Murphy wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mara Romero Borella has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Lauren Murphy
Red Corner
VS
Mara Romero Borella
Blue Corner
+180
(36%)
Vegas Odds
-220
(69%)
42
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'6"
170.18 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Lauren MurphyL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Joanne Calderwood · Jun 21L
KOvs Valentina Shevchenko · Sep 21W
vs Miesha Tate · Jul 22L
vs Jessica Andrade · Jan 23L
vs Eduarda Moura · Jul 25Mara Romero Borella
oldest →latest
W
vs Taila Santos · Feb 19L
vs Montana De La Rosa · Feb 20L
SUBvs Cortney Casey · May 20W
vs Miranda Maverick · Jun 20L
SUBvs Mayra Bueno Silva · Sep 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Lauren MurphyMetricMara Romero Borella
3.94
Strikes / min
2.54
5.19
Strikes absorbed / min
2.48
56%
Strike defense
71%
1.09
TDs / 15 min
1.83
67%
Takedown defense
66%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.25Δ 1.31 — meaningful gap+0.06
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Lauren MurphyMara Romero Borella
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Lauren Murphy(10 fights)Mara Romero Borella(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-44.444.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+246.0-246.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.8-1.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Lauren Murphy
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights15
Mara Romero Borella
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights8