Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Lauren Murphy won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 16, 2022·Elmont, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupLauren Murphy: Well-roundedvsMiesha Tate: Submission grappler
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Lauren Murphy wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Lauren Murphy wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lauren Murphy enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Lauren Murphy
Red Corner
VS
Miesha Tate
Blue Corner
+175
(36%)
Vegas Odds
-205
(67%)
42
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'6"
170.18 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Lauren MurphyL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Liliya Shakirova · Oct 20W
vs Joanne Calderwood · Jun 21L
KOvs Valentina Shevchenko · Sep 21L
vs Jessica Andrade · Jan 23L
vs Eduarda Moura · Jul 25Miesha Tate
oldest →latest
L
vs Raquel Pennington · Nov 16W
KOvs Marion Reneau · Jul 21L
vs Ketlen Vieira · Nov 21W
SUBvs Julia Avila · Dec 23L
vs Yana Santos · May 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Lauren MurphyMetricMiesha Tate
3.94
Strikes / min
2.62
5.19
Strikes absorbed / min
3.05
56%
Strike defense
51%
1.09
TDs / 15 min
1.97
67%
Takedown defense
56%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.25evenly matched on net striking-0.43
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Lauren MurphyMiesha Tate
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Lauren Murphy(10 fights)Miesha Tate(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+21.8-21.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+56.0-56.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Lauren Murphy
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights15
Miesha Tate
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights14