Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Belal Muhammad enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Belal Muhammad has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Leon Edwards (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Leon EdwardsL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Kamaru Usman · Aug 22W
vs Kamaru Usman · Mar 23W
vs Colby Covington · Dec 23L
SUBvs Sean Brady · Mar 25L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 25 Belal MuhammadL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Sean Brady · Oct 22W
vs Gilbert Burns · May 23L
vs Jack Della Maddalena · May 25L
vs Ian Machado Garry · Nov 25L
DECvs Gabriel Bonfim · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Leon EdwardsMetricBelal Muhammad
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.16evenly matched on net striking+0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Leon EdwardsBelal Muhammad
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Leon Edwards(10 fights)Belal Muhammad(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -224.0|Blue +224.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Leon EdwardsTargetBelal Muhammad
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Belal Muhammad edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:50
17Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:45Control
Round 2Belal Muhammad edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control0:49
13Sig. strikes
4Takedowns
3:25Control
Round 3Leon Edwards edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns1
Control4:18
4Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:15Control
Round 4Belal Muhammad edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:30
21Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:17Control
Round 5Belal Muhammad edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:44
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:20Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
