Welterweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Belal Muhammad won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, July 27, 2024·Manchester, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupLeon Edwards: Well-roundedvsBelal Muhammad: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Leon Edwards wins(54.4%)
Actual result: Belal Muhammad wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Belal Muhammad has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Leon Edwards (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Leon Edwards
Red Corner
VS
Belal Muhammad
Blue Corner
-270
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+200
(33%)
34
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
5'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Leon EdwardsL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Kamaru Usman · Aug 22W
vs Kamaru Usman · Mar 23W
vs Colby Covington · Dec 23L
SUBvs Sean Brady · Mar 25L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 25Belal MuhammadL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Vicente Luque · Apr 22W
KOvs Sean Brady · Oct 22W
vs Gilbert Burns · May 23L
vs Jack Della Maddalena · May 25L
vs Ian Machado Garry · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Leon EdwardsMetricBelal Muhammad
2.60
Strikes / min
4.43
2.44
Strikes absorbed / min
3.82
52%
Strike defense
55%
1.25
TDs / 15 min
2.14
63%
Takedown defense
90%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.16evenly matched on net striking+0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Leon EdwardsBelal Muhammad
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Leon Edwards(10 fights)Belal Muhammad(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+28.2-28.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-224.0224.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Leon Edwards
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights19
Belal Muhammad
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights20