Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Carlos Prates (54.1%).
- Carlos Prates has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Leon EdwardsL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Kamaru Usman · Aug 22W
vs Kamaru Usman · Mar 23W
vs Colby Covington · Dec 23L
vs Belal Muhammad · Jul 24L
SUBvs Sean Brady · Mar 25 Carlos PratesW2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Li Jingliang · Aug 24W
KOvs Neil Magny · Nov 24L
vs Ian Machado Garry · Apr 25W
KOvs Geoff Neal · Aug 25W
KOvs Jack Della Maddalena · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Leon EdwardsMetricCarlos Prates
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.16evenly matched on net striking+0.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Leon EdwardsCarlos Prates
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Leon Edwards(10 fights)Carlos Prates(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -83.9|Blue +83.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +147.0|Blue -147.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Leon EdwardsTargetCarlos Prates
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Leon Edwards edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns2
Control3:00
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Carlos Prates edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
1Knockdowns
