Welterweight
3 Rounds
Carlos Prates won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, November 15, 2025·New York City, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupLeon Edwards: Well-roundedvsCarlos Prates: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Carlos Prates wins(56.8%)
Actual result: Carlos Prates wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Carlos Prates (54.1%).
- Carlos Prates has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Leon Edwards
Red Corner
VS
Carlos Prates
Blue Corner
+130
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-154
(61%)
34
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
6'2"
Height
6'1"
187.96 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Leon EdwardsL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Kamaru Usman · Aug 22W
vs Kamaru Usman · Mar 23W
vs Colby Covington · Dec 23L
vs Belal Muhammad · Jul 24L
SUBvs Sean Brady · Mar 25Carlos Prates
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Charles Radtke · Jun 24W
KOvs Li Jingliang · Aug 24W
KOvs Neil Magny · Nov 24L
vs Ian Machado Garry · Apr 25W
KOvs Geoff Neal · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Leon EdwardsMetricCarlos Prates
2.60
Strikes / min
4.41
2.44
Strikes absorbed / min
4.30
52%
Strike defense
47%
1.25
TDs / 15 min
0.18
63%
Takedown defense
77%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.16evenly matched on net striking+0.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Leon EdwardsCarlos Prates
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Leon Edwards(10 fights)Carlos Prates(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+97.7-97.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+147.0-147.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Leon Edwards
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights19
Carlos Prates
StanceSwitch
Height73.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights7