Welterweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Leon Edwards won · M-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, March 18, 2023·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupLeon Edwards: Well-roundedvsKamaru Usman: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Kamaru Usman wins(54.1%)
Actual result: Leon Edwards wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Leon Edwards enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Kamaru Usman has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kamaru Usman (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Leon Edwards
Red Corner
VS
Kamaru Usman
Blue Corner
+205
(33%)
Vegas Odds
-245
(71%)
34
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
6'2"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Leon EdwardsL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Kamaru Usman · Aug 22W
vs Colby Covington · Dec 23L
vs Belal Muhammad · Jul 24L
SUBvs Sean Brady · Mar 25L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 25Kamaru Usman
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jorge Masvidal · Apr 21W
vs Colby Covington · Nov 21L
KOvs Leon Edwards · Aug 22L
vs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 23W
vs Joaquin Buckley · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Leon EdwardsMetricKamaru Usman
2.60
Strikes / min
4.16
2.44
Strikes absorbed / min
2.67
52%
Strike defense
55%
1.25
TDs / 15 min
2.79
63%
Takedown defense
89%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.16Δ 1.33 — meaningful gap+1.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Leon EdwardsKamaru Usman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Leon Edwards(10 fights)Kamaru Usman(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-42.142.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Leon Edwards
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights19
Kamaru Usman
StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights19