Welterweight
3 Rounds
Leon Edwards won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 17, 2018·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Model Prediction: Leon Edwards wins(75.1%)
Actual result: Leon Edwards wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Leon Edwards enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Leon Edwards
Red Corner
VS
Peter Sobotta
Blue Corner
-190
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+165
(38%)
34
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Leon EdwardsL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Kamaru Usman · Mar 23W
vs Colby Covington · Dec 23L
vs Belal Muhammad · Jul 24L
SUBvs Sean Brady · Mar 25L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 25Peter Sobotta
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Steve Kennedy · Jun 15L
KOvs Kyle Noke · Nov 15W
vs Nicolas Dalby · Sep 16W
KOvs Ben Saunders · May 17L
vs Alex Oliveira · Jul 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Leon EdwardsMetricPeter Sobotta
2.60
Strikes / min
2.14
2.44
Strikes absorbed / min
2.90
52%
Strike defense
58%
1.25
TDs / 15 min
1.53
63%
Takedown defense
77%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.16evenly matched on net striking-0.76
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Leon EdwardsPeter Sobotta
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Leon Edwards(10 fights)Peter Sobotta(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+50.8-50.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-97.097.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Leon Edwards
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights19
Peter Sobotta
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights9